Article by Kateryna Zarembo, Deputy Director of the Institute of World Policy for the Euro-Atlantic Quarterly2011 celebrates two years since the launch of Eastern Partnership (EaP) in Prague. Be it much or little for geopolitics, the project is still a toddler, bringing little added value to the state of international relations in the region. While it was Russia who gave impetus to Eastern Partnership – the Russian-Georgian war in August 2008 was a signal to some EU Member States that the region required special attention – the initiative lacked security or geopolitical dimension from the start. Its four platforms, democracy, good governance and stability; economic integration and convergence; energy security and people-to-people contact were an innocent and feeble carrot, which some Eastern partners like Ukraine did not even take seriously.
However, Russia was unhappy about the Eastern Partnership. Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin called the EaP “an alternative to NATO’s expansion to the East”, while President of Russia Dmitry Medvedev warned the EU that the program should not be aimed “against Russia”. Russia was also bewildered by the fact that, together with covering Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia, European-oriented countries, the EaP embraced Belarus and Armenia, the long-standing Russian allies. Moscow refused to take part in the EaP and to finance joint projects on the ground of “non-transparent decision-making and unclear content of the EaP”. Thus, instead of eliminating the security vacuum in the region, the benevolent idea of European ministers Radoslaw Sikorski and Carl Bildt added up to it.
In fact, Russia has nothing to worry about. Let’s face it: the region is no priority to the EU. The European Security Strategy Review of 2008 only brushes upon the Eastern Partnership, declaring the goal of strengthening “the prosperity and stability of these countries, and thus the security of the EU”. In contrast, it describes the Mediterranean as “an area of major importance and opportunity for Europe” and admits that “Europe has security interests beyond its immediate neighbourhood”. The first EaP summit in Prague was ignored by the heads of France, Italy, Spain, the UK, Austria, Portugal, Malta and Cyprus. The third summit has been postponed from May 27, 2011 to some time in autumn due to the fact that France is organizing a G8 summit on that date.
Another fact to admit is that the EaP funding is laughable. The budget of € 600 mio for 2009-2013 has been criticized by many, including the European Parliament in its freshly released resolution on the EaP. The gross inadequacy of the sum is illustrated by an example of what the EU can do if it really cares: in March 2010 an International Donor’s Forum convened in Chisinau at the initiative of the European Commission and the World Bank. As a result, Moldova got € 1.9 bn, 52% of which comes as a grant and 48% as a loan at 1,2% interest rate. This fact proves that the countries covered by the EaP are not disinteresting for the EU per se. Rather, the EaP is ill-equipped to bring about substantial change. At the Ministerial meeting of Visegrad countries and Germany in Bratislava in March 2011 the officials called for the adequate financing of EU policy towards the Eastern partners in the next Multi-Annual Financial Perspective.
Finally, the democratic performance in all countries covered by the EaP has deteriorated rather than improved. One EU Member State diplomat has acknowledged: many leaders in the EU admit the fiasco of their Eastern Policy.
In 2010 Russia opted to reject participation in the Group of Friends of the Eastern Partnership, an informal initiative launched by Poland last year. However, it suggested that it would have “an observer status” in this Group. In other words, Kremlin remains vigilant.
Russian officials agree that they would not mind working with the EU on a joint project vis-à-vis the EaP if Russia could co-author the project rather than join an existing initiative. In particular, spheres like transport and energy are attractive to Moscow. Still, Russia is skeptical about the EU’s genuine interest in such initiatives and in the region as such.
Russia certainly does not perceive the Eastern Partnership as a threat anymore because the European Union does not apply the EaP as a package approach to the region. The pace of the European integration in each of the EaP countries is unique. On the other hand, the bilateral relations of the EU with individual EaP countries can well provoke Russian ire.
The Eastern Partnership offers some key initiatives: association agreements (AA), comprehensive institution building programs, deep and comprehensive free trade areas (DCFTA) and visa liberalization. In particular, Ukraine is nearing the end of painful negotiations on the AA and DCFTA, with the last round presumably taking place in June. In reply Moscow has launched a powerful campaign for making Ukraine join the Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan instead. Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov specially came to Ukraine in order to talk the Ukrainian officials out of DCFTA. Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin followed shortly after, allegedly for the same purpose. Otherwise, Moscow admits, it will have to “raise the barriers” for trade with Ukraine.
Nevertheless, Russian diplomats assure: the EU-Russia relations would remain intact. This is the evidence of Russian power-oriented policy: you can only speak with strong partners on equal terms. The EU is a strong partner and deserves respect. Ukraine is not.
In fact, Russian relations with the EU can be considered better than that of the EU with its EaP partners. Last year Russia and the European Union launched a Partnership for Modernization – a plan to share state-of-the-art EU technology and democratic standards with Russia. It is engaged in creating the European security architecture: Poland, who is bent on reviving the EaP under its EU Presidency in the second half of 2011, is going to hold a summit with France, Germany and Russia in order to talk about the EU’s “ostpolitik”. Besides, Russia is not completely excluded from the EaP initiatives: it takes active part in the visa liberalization dialogue on a par with such frontrunners as Ukraine and Moldova, has lower refusal rate in Schengen visas than Ukraine and Moldova and even lobbies for getting the visa-free regime ahead of these countries.
In the EU case Russia is dissatisfied with other things. For example, in 2010 Germany suggested to Russia to withdraw its troops from Transnistria in exchange for possibly establishing a Russia-EU Committee on Foreign Policy and Security. Russian diplomats were unhappy about the prospect of losing its strategic influence asset in exchange for something ephemeral and uncertain. But the Eastern Partnership has nothing to do with it: as mentioned above, security issues are beyond its scope.
So, until the Eastern Partnership remains a convenient name for the region rather than a substantive project, Russia has nothing to worry about. Meanwhile, it can set the EU an example of how to deal with the neighbours, including in financial terms: by the end of 2011 Russia is going to launch its own foreign aid fund, created after Western aid projects like USAID. Unlike the EU, Russia’s intentions towards the region are serious.
Still, money is not everything. Moral support and a clear indication of the fact that EU-oriented countries like Ukraine are welcome and supported by the EU mean a great deal for their leaders and people. Whether the EU will choose to do so, is yet to see. But if it is looking for cost-effective revive of its Eastern policy, such approach is definite value for money.
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Euroatlantist Diary: Renaissance for Ukraine and NATO?
By Alyona Getmanchuk, Director of the Institute of World Policy for “UKRAINSKA PRAVDA”The article is available only in Ukrainian
My first impressions of Ukraine
The op-ed by Martin Lukáč, intern of the Institute of World Policy, student of Comenius University (Bratislava, Slovakia) for Glavcom.I am from the westernmost part of Slovakia and I have never been to Kiev, or even Ukraine, before. Well, it is quite odd if you travel as much as I do. In my defence I must say that it’s quite far away. However, this summer is different. My feet reached Ukrainian soil by the beginning of this month and every step brought new amazements since then. To be honest, the portrait of the eastern countries is not very attractive in Europe, nevertheless also not very truthful and quite distant from the reality.Besides, Ukraine itself is very interesting forother reasons for me, but I will come to that later. As I finally took courage to compare Ukraine and Slovakia, I have found out that it’s quite obvious that we had had a same starting point more than twenty years ago when the mighty hand of the Soviet empire suffered a defeat. However, each country somehow took the different road.
Slovakia’s closer location to Europe in relation to its European orientation brought an instant dose of capitalism very shortly after the famous revolution. In some cases yes, I hold a brief for western democratic and liberal institutions, but on the other hand, and what truly most people don’t see, also the mentality changed. Slovaks changed, following the west. More or less, the society became more individualist and reserved. Well, probably it is not as bad as it might sound. But, certainly, in comparison to the Ukraine, it’s different.
I have been warned! So many times, that it honestly nearly scared me. I have been warned of people, by Slovaks and also by the natives.However, I still don’t get it. I am afraid I have been warned of the evil of the humankind, instead of Ukrainians. My experience up to now involves very kind-hearted and helpful Ukrainians. Even though I speak very little Russian and till now I met very little people who spoke English, I never had a problem to communicate with them. Nevertheless, I’m more than certain that there are bad people somewhere out there, but truthfully, where aren’t?
Anyway, it’s quite hard to explain what I mean, but people here in ordinary daily life are different, are better in my opinion. I write in ordinary daily life, because in some aspects, the behaviour is quite opposite. What I have been told, especially between young people, mercy and kindness is considered a weakness. To be honest, I haven’t experienced yet, only heard. Thing I have experienced with a goose bump on my back was driving in Kiev. The most interesting thing is that there are several sets of rules – those respected when a policeman stands nearby, those respected by small cars and finally those respected by big cars. The latter excludes the former. An ownership of a big car means quite a lot here. Well, although they don’t usually respect normal traffic rules and park wherever they want, it is not contrary to what I have said – people here are really merciful.
Let me come to the point. I came to spend one month of my summer holiday here. The purpose of my stay was not just touristicin connection to a desperate need of relax, but also quite academic. During my studies, several topics fascinated me quite deeply, but most of all the Eastern Partnership, project of the European Union for its eastern vicinity, grabbed my hearth. As I finish my bachelor studies, I decided to bind the topic of my thesis with my joy. After a short misery I have found and successfully contacted suitable institution for my internship. It was the Institute of World Policy, in my opinion, great place to spend time. I believe that my stay here will provide me with useful information about the situation east from the European Union and might be also fairly motivational.
Naturally, there are certain aspects that do not really please my eye, or let’s say my nose. Alas, smoking is obviously quite popular in Ukraine, from what I have seen, or rather smelled. Not only man, also women smoke in the streets, restaurants and cafés. To be honest, and let’s try to look at smoking as an unhealthy bad habit after all, I am very thankful for the European anti-smoking legislation and its whole heading. In comparison to Europe the prices of tobacco products are very low, although as we have seen from many practical cases, it is not as much about money, rather about the realization of the risks of such habit. I think it still needs some time, but the non-smoking trend is inevitably approaching.
One of the biggest differences I have noticed since my arrival is the social inequality. I have noticed this aspect soon after I came here and many people confirmed this fact additionally. Average salary is much lower in comparison to Slovakia and incomparably low to Western Europe, although the prices of some products are the same. Notwithstanding that Ukrainians are an example, and what I undoubtedly appreciate, that the exaggerated European consumerism is something fundamentally excessive and redundant – that our “new” values of life are based on unstable pillars of an effort to live luxuriously. The traditional moral values are rooted and endure very deeply in Ukrainian society. Maybe for this reason I find people much kinder.
Anyway, the misery of the Ukrainian nation comes from its inner core. This sorrow is called corruption. Never seen, but omnipresent. Everyone knows it is there, but it is hard to make a first step to stand against it. It is more than hard for me to evaluate this aspect of the Ukrainian society. Well, we must admit that corruption is everywhere, but it depends to what extent does it negatively influence or impoverish the society. Truly, in my perception, the corruption suits people who hold a position of whom areeligible to profit from corruption. Actually, the corruption is just another wave of cash flow and whether a person profits, is just a surplus. The fact is that the corruption impoverishes people that do not have such job and have to pay for everything with no side income. The corruption here is just a way to pay for a service, howsoever illegal and unofficial. The saddest thing certainly is that the most associated institution with corruption is police.
The point is that I do not care if police annoys me as a tourist in a foreign country, let’s call it “normal”, because I am not acquaint with everything here. But it is absolutely different and unreasonable situation if police exploits its status to enrich at the expenses of the domestic inhabitants. Those people I mentioned above that suffer from the corruption and those people that hardly earn just for their fair living. On the top of this, that money does not flow to the state repository, but to pockets of skilful policemen. This is a part of Ukraine that does not really attract me and irritates me the most.
I would like to end with something grateful. Therefore, I must say that Ukrainian cuisine and gastronomy, generally, is at very high level. Needless to say, the beauty and charm of local womankind is an unknown treasure, and hopefully so will remain for a very long time soever. On the whole, Ukraine became one of my favourite places and, hopefully, will remain, even with its beauties and ugliness.
IWP held a brainstorming session “Ukraine in NATO Missile Defense System: Pro et contra” with foreign experts
Institute of World Policy held a Brainstorming session “Ukraine in NATO Missile Defense System: Pro et contra” on July 19th, 2011On the invitation of the IWP leading experts on MDS from NATO member-states came to Kyiv to discuss the possible scenarios of Ukraine’s engagement in NATO Missile Defense System.
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Dr. Marcin Kaczmarski, Expert, Russian Department, Centre for Eastern Studies (Warsaw, Poland)
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Dr. Henrik Ø. Breitenbauch, Senior Research Fellow, Centre for Military Studies (Copenhagen, Denmark)
Among them were Dr. Marcin Kaczmarski, Expert, Russian Department, Centre for Eastern Studies (Warsaw, Poland), Dr. Henrik Ø. Breitenbauch, Senior Research Fellow, Centre for Military Studies (Copenhagen, Denmark), Jacek Durkalec, Analyst, International Security Program, Polish Institute of International Affairs (Warsaw, Poland) and Siim Alatalu, expert on behalf of the International Centre for Defence Studies, (Tallinn, Estonia).
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Jacek Durkalec, Analyst, International Security Program, Polish Institute of International Affairs (Warsaw, Poland)
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Siim Alatalu, expert on behalf of the International Centre for Defence Studies, (Tallinn, Estonia)
The brainstorming session took place within the framework of the project «Ukraine in NATO Missile Defense System; Pro et Contra», implemented by the IWP together with Center for Army, Conversion and Disarmament Studies and supported by NATO Liaison Office in Ukraine.
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Alyona Getmanchuk, Director of the Institute of World Policy
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Marcin Koziel, Head of NATO Liasion Office in Ukraine.
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Anton Michnenko, expert of the Center for Army, Conversion and Disarmament Studies.
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The first brainstorming session was held on June 16th, 2011.
Photo by Stanislav Gruzdev
IWP took part in the Euro-Atlantic Partnership Day
The Institute of World Policy took part in the celebration of the first Day of the Euro-Atlantic Partnership in Ukraine.Within the framework the IWP presented the Euro-Atlantic fashion collection on the premises of the Diplomatic Academy of Ukraine.
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The collection, created by the famous Ukrainian fashion designer Olena Dats, was shown during the Ukrainian Fashion Week in Kyiv in March 2010 and it was also presented in the NATO HQ in Brussels in December 2010.
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Alyona Getmanchuk, director of the IWP, also gave a speech at the round-table titled “Ukraine-NATO: 20 years of the Partnership.
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Achievements and Prospects”.
Viktor Shlinchak, Chair of the Supervisory Board, also took part in the event.
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Euroatlantist Diary: The Reset for Mister “YES” and Mister “NO”.
By Alyona Getmanchuk, Director of the Institute of World Policy for “UKRAINSKA PRAVDA”The article is available only in Ukrainian
Euroatlantist Diary: Ukraine between Poland and Greece
By Alyona Getmanchuk, Director of the Institute of World Policy for “UKRAINSKA PRAVDA”The article is available only in ukrainian
Political analysts Alyona Getmanchuk – on perseption of Ukraine in the world
By Alyona Getmanchuk for “Radio Svoboda”The article is available only in russian
Putin… and silence
By Viktor Shlinchak for “Glavcom”The article is available only in russian
Alyona Getmanchuk visited Lithuania
Alyona Getmanchuk, Director of the Institute of World Policy, took part in the Forum of the Community of Democracies held in Vilnius on June 29th – July 1st 2011.She participated in the conference titled ‘Women Enhancing Democracy: Best Practices’, which was organized by Lithuanian President Dalia Grybauskaite and Finnish President Tarja Halonen, and attended by US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
Alyona Getmanchuk also took part in the Sixth Ministerial Conference of the Community of Democracies.
In Photo: Director of the IWP Alyona Getmanchuk and President of Mongolia Tsakhia Elbegdorj.
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