News

The Institute of World Policy (IWP) and the Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS) (Netherlands) presented the policy papers “Ukraine’s Futures” and “Europe’s Futures” within the framework of the project “Enhancing Ukraine’s Foresight Capacity” carried out with the support of the International Renaissance Foundation.The policy paper “Ukraine’s Futures” is based on the grand total of 68 studies, dealing with the future of Ukraine in English, Ukrainian and Russian languages, which were analyzed according to the modern methodology, proposed by the Dutch analysts.{1}
Serhiy Solodkyi, Fіrst Deputy Director of the Institute of World Policy

According to the studies, Ukraine in 5-10 years will focus mostly on the cooperation with the EU, not with Russia. The European integration will me the main course for the future development of Ukraine,
English-language studies also find less likely the future close cooperation with Russia. {3}
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Yevgen Bystrytskyi, director of the International Renaissance Foundation

“European integration, supported by strong economic cooperation ties with the EU will become a key framing force of internal developments”, state the authors of the policy paper “Ukraine’s Future”.
Also the most of the experts suppose that Ukraine will stay a neutral state, abstaining joining military Alliances, like NATO or CSTO. However, many scenarios regarding non-aligment, perceive this policy trend as something temporary and dependent on political context.
Ukrainian authors also envisage that the EU and Russia will be the key actors, contributing to future scenarios of Ukraine.
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Olha Zelinska, an expert of the project “Enhancing Ukraine’s Foresight Capacity”
Regarding the economic development, the experts foresee booming technological development of Ukraine in the future. The most attractive branches for investments will be industry and communications.
So in the nearest decade Ukraine will be an agricultural state, with a growing economy, and modernized industry and communications.
{6} Mykhaylo Gonchar, Director of Energy Programs Center “Nomos”
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Within the project “Enhancing Ukraine’s Foresight Capacity” Ukrainian researchers contributed in ten major analytical reports. Amongst them are “Cybersecurity”, “Demographic shifts”, “The Future Nature of Conflict”, “The Future of the Indian Ocean” and others. Our experts covered sources in Russian and Ukrainian languages to prepare wide foresight analysis. Thus, IWP was the regional centre of the global project.
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Natasha Prah, Charge d’Affaires a.i. Head of Mission of the Republic of Slovenia

The project of the Institute of World Policy and the Hague Centre for Strategic Studies, supported by the International Renaissance Foundation, was aimed at deepening cooperation between Ukrainian and Western European think-tanks.
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Vitaliy Knyazhanskiy, “Den”
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Volodymyr Fesenko, Head of the Centre for Applied Political Studies “Penta”

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Iryna Gerashchenko, MP

Researchers at IWP could learn how to do foresight studies based on the methodology developed by the Hague Centre for Strategic Studies. Developing this kind of analytical reports provides an opportunity to create fact-based, overwhelming decisions by the authorities, NGOs, think-tanks. These studies will be especially useful to those working on strategies in security and foreign policy issues.{12}

Photo by Natalia Sagalata